BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
NC State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
NC State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
22.64 |
23.62 (+0.98) |
25.18 |
28.25 (+3.06) |
28.25 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
325.82 |
323.55 (-2.27) |
333.09 |
353.85 (+20.75) |
353.85 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.67 |
4.67 (-0.00) |
5.05 |
5.32 (+0.27) |
5.32 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
20.91 |
17.27 (-3.64) |
21.36 |
18.12 (-3.24) |
18.12 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
341.64 |
310.45 (-31.19) |
335.82 |
319.21 (-16.61) |
319.21 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.35 |
5.16 (-0.19) |
5.56 |
5.28 (-0.28) |
5.28 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.9 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-08-31 |
@Connecticut |
35.08 |
8.51 |
-26.58 |
43.59 |
92.63% |
W 24-14 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Notre Dame |
20.08 |
31.79 |
+11.71 |
51.87 |
31.23% |
L 24-45 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
VMI |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-7 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-22 |
@Virginia |
31.85 |
21.59 |
-10.25 |
53.44 |
66.44% |
W 24-21 |
3-1 |
| 2023-09-29 |
Louisville |
20.76 |
22.69 |
+1.94 |
43.45 |
46.90% |
L 10-13 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Marshall |
35.89 |
14.06 |
-21.83 |
49.95 |
85.01% |
W 48-41 |
4-2 |
| 2023-10-15 |
@Duke |
19.44 |
25.07 |
+5.64 |
44.51 |
40.96% |
L 3-24 |
4-3 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Clemson |
19.51 |
21.83 |
+2.32 |
41.34 |
46.28% |
W 24-17 |
5-3 |
| 2023-11-05 |
Miami |
25.05 |
23.90 |
-1.15 |
48.95 |
51.85% |
W 20-6 |
6-3 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Wake Forest |
27.51 |
17.90 |
-9.61 |
45.41 |
65.42% |
W 26-6 |
7-3 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Virginia Tech |
26.23 |
23.75 |
-2.48 |
49.99 |
53.97% |
W 35-28 |
8-3 |
| 2023-11-26 |
North Carolina |
31.96 |
27.65 |
-4.31 |
59.61 |
56.91% |
W 39-20 |
9-3 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-28 |
@Kansas State |
19.19 |
36.74 |
+17.55 |
55.92 |
21.85% |
L 19-28 |
9-4 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 9-4 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-12 |
0.00% |
| 2-11 |
0.04% |
| 3-10 |
0.38% |
| 4-9 |
1.99% |
| 5-8 |
6.87% |
| 6-7 |
15.32% |
| 7-6 |
23.01% |
| 8-5 |
23.99% |
| 9-4 |
17.18% |
| 10-3 |
8.30% |
| 11-2 |
2.46% |
| 12-1 |
0.41% |
| 13-0 |
0.04% |